China growth to 2030: Two-child policy and economy factors change

Abstract

This research aims to analyze how two-child policy influence the future demographic change in China and then how it is related to the economic factors to affect the future economy change in China. Two questions will be focused on. One is the trend of economy factors change, another is which group of population, divided based on the age of population, will affect each economy trend most. A simulation model will be used in the first question during the process. Data about how Chinese demographic change under different growing pattern will first be collected, also the economy factors. By doting the comparison on the economy factors between the situation under stable fertility and two-child policy, the conclusion obtained as two-child policy will influence most of the economy factors in a good way, and few will be influenced negatively. As for another question, how economy factors will be impacted by different age population will also be analyzed, by using the regression model.